Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. The exclusion of the Green then elected Michael Danby with 51.4% of the two-party preferred vote. It was replaced by the division of Macnamara which had almost identical boundaries. Dan M, this is a fantastic result for the Greens and after a 1 term Labor government they will be in a great position to flip it next time. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. . It seems that the Greens overperformed federal results in Prahran and underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa. Wills ( ALP 8.5% v GRN) is the seat for former Labor Prime Minister Bob Hawke and runs north-west between Merri Creek and Moonee Ponds Creek from inner-city Brunswick to the Western Ring Road. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). If Labour end up not winning Macnamara, it will be a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. Current preference flow: LIB 47%, GRN 35.4%, ALP 17.6%. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. Labor's state and federal executives did not adopt Danby's position. I will work diligently with the council and various boards to direct and focus attention to these significant concerns. Support local journalism. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40km2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Subscribe today. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. However, its ridiculous to say that the Libs will come third if they dont improve, when they are currently first on the 3CP and all the current batches of votes are tracking to improve their lead. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. On a primary vote basis, the three areas look very different. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia It included Port Melbourne, but also included a number of middle and upper middle class suburbs such as Albert Park, Balaclava, Caulfield, Elwood, Middle Park, Ripponlea, South Melbourne and St Kilda. I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. Second Issue: Economic development. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. As a scientist, I will bring critical thinking to our decision-making. Twitter: @JDGallop. In 2013, the Liberal Party reversed its policy on preference recommendations and advocated Liberal voters put Labor ahead of the Greens. Because 500 votes separated the Greens from Labor, and in all seats covering Macnamara, the Greens had an increase in primary votes, 8% in Prahran, 4% in Albert Park, and even 1.1% in Caulfield with a teal running. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Liberal 30.69% 4. In 3CP terms after minor preferences, thats 32.2% LIB, 30.5% ALP, 37.3% GRN if postals continue flowing like the last batch too (and every single batch has been moving in that same direction). Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. Departures - add 3.5 hours to ETD. Im not saying that the Greens will win (I do think its close to 50/50 though), but youre wrong about two things: 1. J.D. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. The video of the event is the second of the three videos below. It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. Immediately below is the video of the event. During this period it was held by only five members, all men, most notably Jack Holloway, a minister who served under John Curtin and Ben Chifley; Frank Crean, Treasurer and then Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam Government; and Clyde Holding, a minister in the Hawke Government who prior to switching to federal politics had served as Victorian Opposition Leader from 1967 to 1977. The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. See ships at Port Phillip Heads: Arrivals - subtract 3.5 hours from ETA. It covers an area of approximately 40 sq km around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. Subscribe today. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. What they care about is what matters to me. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. In Caulfield, the Liberal Party was far out ahead, while the Liberal Party narrowly outpolled Labor in Port Melbourne. Danby, MP for Melbourne Ports since 1998, . This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. Also the issue for Josh Burns is that most of the population growth is occurring in the west of the seat such as Southbank/Fishermens Bend. This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 shipping.melbourne@gac.com, Tel: +61 3 8645 6900Email: Phil, the AEC have already done a 3CP count for all the ballots currently counted, and published it. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. On those boundaries, for decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and Labor usually easily retained it even during severe nationwide defeats for Labor. In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . The only way that I cant see Labor winning here is if all the cards fall the right way for the Greens and that doesnt often happen. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. Ultimately it will come down to the mix of late and early pre-E-Day voting. He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. Continue exploring need and feasibility of West Melbourne building a fire department. Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; But Im tipping Burns to hold in a Labor v Greens count. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. Results prior to 2019 were under the electorate's former name of Melbourne Ports.). 0:36. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. The Victorian redistribution in general will be fascinating. However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. Melbourne Ports) Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Tim Hollo Candidate for Canberra Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle Libs and Greens will definitely advocate for the 2021 Macnamara/Higgins proposal again. . From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. Changes at outdoor shop: Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Occupation:Assistant principal,Brevard Public Schools, Education:Bachelors degree in psychology and elementary education; master's degree in educational leadership, Political/government/civic experience:Elected to Melbourne City Council in November 2018; member of the Space Coast League of Cities board of directors; treasurer of the Space Coast League of Cities; appointed vice mayor in November 2021, Campaign email:reelectjsanders2022@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:sanders4mlbcouncil.com; Facebook: Reelect Julie Sanders 2022;Instagram: Juliesanders2873. Had almost identical boundaries behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville a qualified primary school teacher, social,... 3.5 hours from ETA flooding and safety services are breaking 33.1 %,..., Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, St,... 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